Multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms could produce large hail, wind damage and tornadoes in the central United States beginning late this week as a classic springtime jet stream pattern sets up.
The Quick Takeaway A pair of jet stream disturbances will track from the Rockies into the Plains from Thursday through this weekend.
Both of those energy impulses will spark daily bouts of severe weather in two rounds.
Round 1 -Thursday-Thursday night: Large hail and wind damage appear to be the primary threats from northwest Texas to western and central parts of Oklahoma and Kansas into south-central Nebraska.
Any severe weather is likely to be isolated at first in the late afternoon and/or early evening, but storms could become more numerous overnight.
Dallas-Fort Worth; Kansas City; Tulsa, Oklahoma; and Des Moines, Iowa, are some cities that might see severe weather.
Round 2 The forecast is still uncertain, but any storms that turn severe could produce wind damage, large hail and a tornado threat.
Riding through that u-shaped jet stream will be a couple of more prominent disturbances that pivot from the Rockies into the central U.S.
Starting late this week, a classic springtime jet stream pattern is expected to produce multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms that could result in large hail, wind damage, and tornadoes in the central United States.
The Brief Conclusion.
Between this Thursday and this weekend, two jet stream disturbances are expected to move from the Rockies into the Plains. There will be two rounds of severe weather that will be triggered by those energy impulses every day.
Finished 1.
Thursday afternoon and evening: From northwest Texas to the western and central regions of Oklahoma and Kansas into south-central Nebraska, large hail and wind damage seem to be the main hazards. There could also be a lone tornado threat.
Late afternoon and/or early evening is when any severe weather is most likely to occur in isolation, but over night, storms may become more frequent.
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Friday morning into Friday night: The Plains and Midwest will see a shift in the risk of severe weather, but it’s still unclear how morning storms will impact the rest of the day.
That said, a wide swath of the country, extending from Iowa to north-central Texas, is likely to experience strong thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening that may result in large hail, wind damage, and a few tornadoes. Some of the cities that could experience severe weather include Dallas-Fort Worth, Kansas City, Tulsa, Oklahoma, and Des Moines, Iowa.
Round 2.
Though the forecast is still hazy, any severe storms could bring with them the possibility of tornadoes, significant hail, and wind damage.
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Sunday.
Sunday is likely to see at least some more severe weather associated with this system, extending from northeast Texas to a large portion of Arkansas, Missouri, and Illinois. To offer any further information regarding the forecast, it is still a little early.
Typical Setup for Spring.
The western trough, or southward dip in the jet stream, which is expected to develop in the West by later this week, is a common enemy this time of year and is the source of this threat of severe thunderstorms.
There are two more notable disturbances that are expected to ride through the u-shaped jet stream and turn from the Rockies into the central United States. S. The Gulf of Mexico will be drawn up by both disturbances, bringing warm, humid air that will make the atmosphere unstable and conducive to thunderstorm activity.
