From Hogan to a Trumpier Senate

The Associated Press

Maryland’s former Republican governor, Larry Hogan, easily won his party’s nomination for the U.S. Senate seat opened by Democratic Sen. Ben Cardin’s retirement.
The Senate race in the solidly Democratic state would normally be a snoozer, but Hogan is a candidate unlike any other Republican.
Over his two terms as governor, Hogan won a significant number of Democratic votes and remained popular among a wide swath of the left-leaning state.
Still, Hogan will undoubtedly shake up the Senate map and put Democrats even more on the defensive.
HISTORY IN MARYLAND Hogan will face Democrat Angela Alsobrooks, who notched a striking win in a contentious primary in which she was dramatically outspent.
Alsobrooks defeated Rep. David Trone, who spent more than $61 million of his own money on his Democratic primary bid for the Senate nomination.
THE SENATE GETS TRUMPIER The biggest shift in the U.S. Senate may have already happened Tuesday night, when West Virginia Gov.
Disillusioned Democrats have urged primary voters to cast ballots for “uncommitted” where the option is available.

NEGATIVE

Election season continues even after the outcome of the presidential primary.

In a number of crucial contests that could determine the distribution of power on Capitol Hill in the upcoming year, voters in several states, including West Virginia and Maryland, selected nominees on Tuesday.

The following are some conclusions from Tuesday’s primaries:.

HOGAN: CRUCIAL LAMB OR GAME-CHANGER?

With great ease, former Republican governor of Maryland, Larry Hogan, received his party’s candidacy for the U. s. The Democratic senator’s Senate seat opened. Ben Cardin’s retirement. Normally, the Senate race in the resolutely Democratic state would be a snoozer, but Hogan stands out among the other Republican contenders.

Hogan was well-liked by a large portion of the left-leaning state and garnered a sizable number of Democratic votes during his two terms as governor. He has been a harsh critic of Trump, which has won him over some Democratic voters and helped him deflect criticism from the left. Republicans in the Senate were attempting to unseat Democrats, who currently hold a two-seat majority, which is why they courted him assiduously to run for the recently vacant seat.

In an era where voters routinely vote along party lines rather than for individual politicians, candidates with cross-party appeal like Hogan are quickly becoming less and less common in national politics. The sole senator to win a state that also supported a presidential candidate from a different party in the past two presidential elections was Susan Collins, a Republican from Maine.

Stories of well-liked, moderate minority-party governors losing Senate seats in recent elections serve as a sobering reminder that people are far more inclined to support partisan politics in federal offices than in state ones. Former Democratic governors of Montana and Tennessee, Phil Bredesen and Steve Bullock, respectively, ran in 2020 and 2018 for open Senate seats in deeply conservative states. They both suffered severe losses.

Because Hogan has stated he would caucus with Republicans, potentially giving the GOP a Senate majority, Democrats who have previously applauded his anti-Trump positions should prepare to portray him as a threat to entitlements and abortion rights in the Maryland version of this. That might make Hogan’s path to victory in a state that Biden won by 33 percentage points difficult.

Nevertheless, Hogan will surely reorganize the Senate’s composition and further isolate Democrats. They are required to defend three seats in states won by Donald Trump, one of which is a recently vacated seat in West Virginia, which is Trump’s strongest state.

The past of Maryland.

Democrat Angela Alsobrooks, who emerged victorious despite being vastly outspent in a fierce primary, will oppose Hogan.

Additionallybrooks would be Maryland’s first Black senator if she prevails in November. Maryland is home to one of the nation’s largest Black populations. Presently, the only Black woman in the U.S. S. The term of California senator Laphonza Butler expires in December, and she is resigning. There are three Black male senators in the chamber.

Rep. Alsobrooks was defeated. David Trone, who invested over $61 million of his personal funds in his Democratic primary campaign for the Senate nomination. By receiving the endorsements of prominent Democrats in the state, such as Gov., she defeated Trone’s financial edge. Senator Wes Moore. Chris Van Hollen and Representative… Henty Hoyer. Raising economic opportunities, education, and abortion rights were the main platforms of her campaign, and she attacked Trone for funding Republicans across the nation, including those who are anti-abortion.

During a House of Representatives committee hearing, Trone, a 68-year-old White man, made a few mistakes, one of which was calling a Black witness names. Trone stated that he was attempting to use a term that sounded similar.

SENATE TRUMPS HIGHER.

The largest change in U.S. s. It might have happened Tuesday night in the Senate when West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice officially emerged as the Republican nominee for the U. s. Democratic Senator’s retirement leaves a Senate seat vacant. Manchin Joe.

Despite his state’s political shift to the right, Manchin, a centrist Democrat, managed to weather political storms and remain relevant. He was most likely the only Democrat in the state to win a senate election, and Justice will now take his place.

Regardless of whether the GOP flips more seats to give it 50 or more senators, that will tilt the Senate even further in Trump’s favor. Justice, a wealthy coal magnate who turned Democratic politician before becoming a Republican, was favored by West Virginia voters due to his charming folklore and ubiquitous English bulldog, Babydog.

Similar to Trump, Justice has been dogged by legal issues; tax authorities have filed liens on his properties and his companies have been sued for nonpayment of debts. Justice has also deviated from GOP convention, just like Trump. He supported the bipartisan infrastructure bill that President Biden signed, which is now a mainstay of the president’s campaign. Rep. received barbs for that from his opponent. Justice’s advantages were not sufficiently countered by Alex Mooney.

Justice will join a Senate Republican caucus that has steadily become more Trump-friendly as the president’s opponents have retired and been replaced by allies who emerge victorious in party primaries. He is similar to Trump in that regard, though it is impossible to predict how he will vote on every matter.

THE GHALEY Ghost.

The previous governor of South Carolina was removed two months ago. Conservatives who did not want to vote for former President Donald Trump continue to support Nikki Haley, a candidate for the GOP presidential nomination.

Tens of thousands of votes were cast for Haley on Tuesday night in West Virginia and Maryland, following her stunning 21 percent victory in last week’s Republican primary in Indiana. D.C, Maryland is a highly educated state. Particularly well-suited to Haley’s less ideological and more technocratic approach is the state that borders it. Haley’s strength is striking even in that situation, though.

The fact that Haley keeps getting votes might be a red flag for Trump. A portion of the Republican voter base continues to want to vote against him even as the party unites around him. It is plausible, though, that a large number of these voters are already Biden supporters who are just enjoying embarrassing Trump by casting their ballots in the GOP primary. This means that in November, the protest vote will have little significance.

A campaign of protest against Biden’s handling of the Gaza War has been launched by him. Disenchanted Democrats have asked primary voters to select “uncommitted” when given the chance. Although the majority of those votes were cast in Maryland, the percentage was not very high.

Biden easily prevailed in West Virginia, but roughly 25% of Democratic voters supported other candidates. In a state that was historically Democratic but has since shifted sharply to the right, Barack Obama only received 59 percent of the Democratic primary vote there in 2012, when he was seeking a second term. This is not unusual for an incumbent Democratic president.

.

scroll to top