Democrats won the New York Special House election

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Timothy M. Kennedy, a Democratic New York State senator, easily won a special House election on Tuesday to replace a retiring congressman in western New York, according to The Associated Press.
And Mr. Kennedy outspent his Republican opponent, Gary Dickson, by an eye-popping 47 to 1.
Once Mr. Kennedy is seated, Mr. Johnson’s margin will effectively shrink to just a single, tenuous vote on partisan issues.
In the meantime, Mr. Kennedy, 47, is expected to provide a reliably liberal vote.
Mr. Dickson, a former F.B.I.
With 62 percent of the votes counted, Mr. Kennedy was beating Mr. Dickson by 34 percentage points, 67 to 33.
Mr. Kennedy is a former occupational therapist who has served in the New York State Senate since 2011.
Mr. Kennedy will likely remain in campaign mode this year, with a Democratic primary in June and November’s general election still ahead.

NEUTRAL

In an easy victory on Tuesday, Democratic senator from New York State Timothy M. Kennedy was chosen to succeed retiring congressman in western New York in a special House election, as reported by The Associated Press.

The outcome was not shocking at all. For many years, Democrats have dominated the district in the Buffalo area. Furthermore, Mr. Kennedy outspent Gary Dickson, his Republican opponent, 47 to 1.

However, his victory will come at a time when Louisiana Speaker Mike Johnson is struggling to maintain a slim Republican majority and quell a revolt on his right flank, meaning that his victory will immediately affect the House.

Mr. Kennedy’s seat will essentially reduce Mr. Johnson’s lead on partisan matters to just one, shaky vote. Republicans should receive reinforcements from a few special elections in Wisconsin, Ohio, Colorado, and California, but not until this summer.

Meanwhile, it is anticipated that Mr. Kennedy, 47, will cast a consistently liberal vote. Campaigning on a well-known Democratic platform, he pledged to fight against former President Donald J. Trump, for federal abortion rights, and for funding for infrastructure in a region that has struggled economically. Trump is the presumed Republican candidate running against Biden in the autumn.

Mr. Dickson, an ex-F. C. Me. agent and town supervisor, ran a reasonably centrist campaign for a Republican during the Trump administration. He had given the former president his support, but he called the Jan. 6 Capitol Riot: “A farce”. He backed federal spending on transportation projects and Ukraine’s fight against Russia, two spending priorities that more conservative Republicans vehemently oppose.

However, in a district with over twice as many Democrats as Republicans, it was insufficient to win support. Mr. Kennedy was leading Mr. Dickson by 34 percentage points, 67 to 33, with 62 percent of the votes counted.

Brian Higgins, a moderate Democrat who had served the Buffalo region for 19 years, retired in February, leaving the seat vacant.

Hey, Mr. Higgins was one of many seasoned lawmakers from both parties who left their positions early this year to take the helm of Shea’s Performing Arts Center in Buffalo. Like many others, Mr. Higgins, 64, pointed to Capitol Hill’s environment as becoming more and more toxic and unproductive.

Mr. Kennedy, a former occupational therapist, has been a member of the New York State Senate since 2011. After a racist gunman killed ten people at a Buffalo supermarket in 2022, he headed a significant legislative committee on transportation in Albany and backed a strict set of gun safety regulations. He developed a reputation as a successful fund-raiser as well.

He was chosen directly by party leaders to be Mr. Higgins’ replacement as the Democratic nominee. With a Democratic primary scheduled for June and the general election in November still to come, Mr. Kennedy is probably going to stay in campaign mode this year.

Buffalo and many of its suburbs, as well as Niagara Falls, are included in the district as it extends northward.

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