Week 2 of NFL Player Props: Travis Hunter, Kyren Williams, Aaron Rodgers, and Others

Week 2 of the NFL season is heating up, and this Sunday I have some NFL player props set in stone.

I’ll be adding more Week 2 prop picks soon, so stay tuned for my NFL player predictions for Week 2.

Week 2 of Sean Koerner’s NFL Player Props.

Aaron Rodgers, quarterback (-115; BetMGM), is under 232.5 pass yards.

Over 72.5 Rush Yards (-115; BetMGM) for RB Kyren Williams.

4.5 Receptions for WR Travis Hunter (+114; FanDuel).

Under 22.5 Reception Yards (-114; FanDuel) for wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins.

Russell Wilson, quarterback (-110; FanDuel), under 217.5 pass yards.

Over 45.5 Reception Yards for WR Rome Odunze (-114; DraftKings).

Player prop for the Seahawks vs. Steelers: Aaron Rodgers’ pass yards.

Although Aaron Rodgers appeared to have finally discovered the ideal combination of offseason drugs to relive his Packers glory days in Week 1, he had the highest percentage of the week—71 percent—of his 244 passing yards after the catch.

He did not try a single pass downfield that went 20 yards or more, and his average air yards for the week were the lowest at 4point 3. It will be much more difficult for him to clear this prop if the Steelers adopt a similar strategy again.

Following a roughly 40-minute deficit last week, the Steelers were forced to adopt a pass-heavy game plan. They should have more leeway to rely on the run because they are 3-point home favorites here.

In Year 2, the Seahawks should be run-heavy and dominate possession time, and head coach Mike Macdonald should see a significant improvement in their defense.

With a few underlying factors suggesting a lower passing yardage outcome, I would set Rodgers’ median closer to 223.5 yards.

Kyren Williams Rush Yards is the Rams vs. Titans player prop.

Despite playing with the lead just 27 percent of the time (6th lowest), the Rams finished 10-7 and qualified for the playoffs the previous season.

I predict that they will play with the lead at a rate roughly 23% higher than they did the previous season, as they are 5.5-point favorites here. That creates a rare positive game script that should cause Kyren Williams’ volume to rise.

His rushing profile also fits the matchup perfectly.

In Week 1, Williams ran inside 83 percent of the time, which is second among running backs. With the third-highest rushing yards over expected per attempt allowed last season and the second-highest in Week 1, Tennessee has had trouble stopping inside runs.

Their nose tackle, T’Vondre Sweat, who had a team-best 2 percent missed tackle rate the previous season, will now be absent. The run defense of Carolina was hampered by his replacement, fellow NT Shy Tuttle, the previous season. This is a great spot for Williams because both players are essential to preventing inside runs.

He has a roughly 62 percent chance of clearing 72.5 yards, and I predict that his median will be closer to 80.5.

Player prop for the Jaguars vs. Bengals: Travis Hunter’s reactions.

Each year, focusing on rookie wide receivers in particular markets before public opinion completely shifts is one of my favorite strategies. Variance occurs and I don’t always get the timing right (for instance, I hit Brian Thomas Jr. ‘s lengthy reception Over 18.5 in Week 1; it was unsuccessful, but that score was too good to endure.

Sometimes, like with Justin Jefferson’s over 21-point-five receiving yards or CeeDee Lamb’s over 3-point-five receptions, I time it perfectly. Now, those props look ridiculous. Hunter’s 4.5 reception line is similar to that, and I want to get in early.

In his debut, he scored 6/33/0, but the arrow only points upward. He plays CB, so people might not notice his WR potential, but he reminds me of early-career Odell Beckham Jr. Feelings, and after the catch, he could be above average.

Liam Coen, head coach of the Jaguars, wasted no time in showcasing him in the best possible way. Hunter lined up in the slot and was touched in a similar way to how Coen had previously used Cooper Kupp or Chris Godwin.

In Week 1, Hunter caught three screen passes, which is a sign of a strong reception floor. Any downfield grabs will only be a bonus because all six of his catches actually occurred on throws that were within 10 air yards.

With a 26 percent target rate (BTJ was 23 percent; Hunter will start creating downfield plays for him), Hunter led the team and caught six passes in a game that Jacksonville dominated, maintaining the lead for 46 minutes (the fifth-highest rate of the week, even longer when you factor in the rain delay!).

The Bengals are now drawn in a game script that should make the Jaguars pass a lot more frequently.

Hunter has a 58 percent chance of clearing 4.5, according to my projection of 5.1 receptions, and we’re getting better odds to support it.

DeAndre Hopkins’ reception yards are a player prop for the Browns vs. Ravens game.

In his Ravens debut, DeAndre Hopkins showcased his skills with a 2/35/1 line, which included a classic 29-yard one-handed touchdown. Though the underlying usage suggests otherwise, it was the kind of catch he has made numerous times in his possible Hall of Fame career.

Hopkins only ran 11 routes (55 percent route rate) and was only used in 11 personnel, which is one of the lowest groupings the Ravens use in the league. Because Isaiah Likely and Patrick Ricard were sidelined in Week 1 and will be sidelined again this week, Baltimore relied more on it.

Nevertheless, in a game that was back and forth, the Ravens continued to be comparatively run-heavy. The script now suggests a more run-centric strategy, which could further limit Hopkins’ routes as they are double-digit favorites.

Last week, he caught both of his targets and was effective on a low volume, but Next Gen Stats calculated that his touchdown grab had a 33 percent chance of being completed. Had he not made that unlikely catch, he would have only gained six yards.

This demonstrates the volatility in this situation: Hopkins’ floor is significantly lower than the line indicates, but he can always pop for a gain of 20 yards or more. His median is closer to 17 points 5 yards, and I estimate that he has a 60% chance of staying under 22 points 5.

Concern was increased by the fact that the Browns’ cornerback tandem of Denzel Ward and Greg Newsome performed admirably in Week 1 and that, in their matchup with the Bengals, Cleveland gave up the eighth-lowest number of yards per route run to wide receivers in 11 personnel.

Russell Wilson’s pass yards are the Giants vs. Cowboys player prop.

Russell Wilson might be replaced in-game as soon as this week by Jaxson Dart, in my opinion.

What does “realistic” mean? Perhaps 5%. I see other avenues that are helpful as well, but even that remote possibility offers sly value on the under, doesn’t it sound crazy?

The Giants can run a more balanced, run-heavy strategy than they did in Week 1, when they fell behind for 52 minutes (the fourth-highest rate) in their 21-6 loss to Washington, provided Wilson plays well and the game stays close.

They are six points behind, but that actually means they will play with the lead 18 percent more often than they did in 2024. In a game script like that, Wilson would undoubtedly fall under.

His profile in this offense is the deeper problem. In Week 1, he attempted a 20-yard or more pass on just 3% of his throws, which is significantly lower than his career average and the lowest rate of his career.

This resulted in the lowest air yards per attempt of his career, at 5:07. Under Brian Daboll’s scheme, Wilson is throwing underneath at a career-high rate and scrambling on six dropbacks, which is another high for his late career.

The line appears exaggerated in itself. A significant negative game script that compels New York to go ultra pass heavy would be Wilson’s best option for gaining yards. However, Daboll might also choose to give Dart a try at that point, particularly in a position with less pressure like Dallas without Micah Parsons.

I give Wilson a roughly 60% chance of staying under 217.5, with enough sneaky downside built in. I project him closer to 207.5 yards.

Rome Odunze Reception Yards is the Bears vs. Lions player prop.

Rome Odunze is clearly a buy-low going into a possible Year 2 breakout in HC Ben Johnson’s plan, despite my initial high on him before the season. Additionally, Odunze and Caleb Williams ought to get along better, as Williams is probably going to get better in his sophomore year.

First week was a mixed bag.

Odunze was the obvious no. 1 in the Bears offense, holding the team’s top spot with a target share of 23 percent. Even so, Odunze and Williams missed a few passes, including one that was obviously intended for the receiver, but Williams didn’t believe the read, so the receiver never received the ball.

Odunze’s potential was somewhat stifled by Minnesota’s zone-heavy defense, which contributed to the problem.

However, Odunze demonstrated why I’m bullish in the face of man coverage. He drew three targets despite running just four man-coverage routes, and his 1.333 separation score was the second-highest of Week 1 according to FantasyPoints data. That is consistent with his ability to defeat vs. male.

Despite having a new defensive coordinator, the Lions continue to play man at one of the highest rates in the league in Week 1.

I want to attack Odunze’s yardage prop, and this is the ideal place to buy low on him.

His chances of clearing 45.5 are roughly 60%, and I project his median closer to 53.5 yards.