The model reveals Phoenix picks for the NASCAR Cup Series Championship

The field for the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship race is set for Sunday at Phoenix Raceway, following a contentious race in Martinsville where teams and manufacturers blocked or slowed down to give competitor drivers track position. At 3 p.m. on Sunday, Ryan Blaney, Joey Logano, William Byron, and Tyler Reddick will compete for the NASCAR championship after making it to the final four. m. ET. Truex Martin Jr. took the pole position in the Phoenix Raceway NASCAR Cup Series Championship race.

At Phoenix odds, Blaney, the reigning NASCAR Cup Series champion, is the +200 favorite to win the race. After him in the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship odds are Christopher Bell (+850), Logano (+500), and Byron (+500). Check out the most recent 2024 NASCAR at Phoenix predictions from SportsLine’s reliable projection model before making any 2024 NASCAR Championship selections, locking in NASCAR props on sites like PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, or entering any NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel.

Mike McClure, a SportsLine predictive data engineer and daily Fantasy pro, created this proprietary NASCAR prediction model, which simulates every race 10,000 times while accounting for variables like track history and recent outcomes.

It predicted Denny Hamlin’s victories in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4, and it called its first winner of the 2024 season with Kyle Larson in Las Vegas for a 21-5 betting payout. In addition, it flawlessly predicted five of Larson’s victories during his historic 2021 campaign. Since 2021, the model has predicted an astounding 18 winners, including nine the previous year and three in the first seven races this season. Anyone who followed its lead on sportsbooks and betting apps for those NASCAR picks made a ton of money.

The 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship was now 10,000 times simulated by the model. The full projected NASCAR at Phoenix leaderboard can be found at SportsLine.

The best predictions for the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship.

Based on the most recent 2024 NASCAR at Phoenix odds, the model has Ross Chastain at +2000 for the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship. Anyone hoping for a big payout is targeting him. However, Chastain has already won from outside title contention this postseason, and we know he will run hard on Saturday. Chastain was penalized 50 points for blocking to help Byron last week in Martinsville, which prevented him from making the NASCAR playoffs this season.

Even though he had already been eliminated from the NASCAR Championship race, Chastain led an incredible 157 laps to win the race in 2023. While still in the NASCAR playoffs, he also placed third in the 2022 finale, finishing second in the NASCAR standings. He won’t interfere with a championship race, as we saw last week, but he would still be more than happy to put in a lot of effort and try to help his Trackhouse Racing team win.

A huge shocker is that Bell (+850) falters and misses the top five. The starting lineup for the 2024 NASCAR Phoenix offers much better value. Last week, with a title shot on the line, Bell was just defeated by Byron as he attempted to race in the final for the third straight season.

But historically, Bell and the No. haven’t performed well in November in Phoenix. team of 20. Throughout his Cup career, he has never placed higher than ninth in the championship race, finishing 36th in the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Championship. Before finishing in 22nd place last week, Bell had been running strong, and that probably killed his momentum going into this weekend. Check out the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine, along with which other drivers to avoid.

How to choose the 2024 NASCAR at Phoenix drivers.

Additionally, the model is aiming to identify two drivers who have odds of 16-1 or greater to seriously challenge the checkered flag. Anyone who supports these drivers has a great chance of success. All of the model’s NASCAR predictions, props, and projected leaderboard are available at SportsLine.

See the most recent 2024 NASCAR at Phoenix odds below, and then head over to SportsLine right now to view the complete projected leaderboard. This model has correctly predicted 18 winners, including three this year, so you can see who will win the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship and which longshots are must-backs for NASCAR prop bets.

2024 NASCAR Championship lineup, drivers, and odds.

Visit SportsLine to view the complete NASCAR at Phoenix picks.