NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Props: Week 7 Sunday Selections

Whether it’s a player prop, game spread, or total, bettors can find matchups to take advantage of every week of the NFL regular season. On Sunday, October 19, I’m here to discuss the NFL anytime touchdown props for Week 7.

My performance last season was 123-269 (31.4 percent), with +44.1 units in profit for an 11 percent return on investment. I did this by selecting Anytime TD props for every Sunday afternoon game.

If you intend to follow all of these Week 7 TD wagers, please manage your bankroll appropriately. These bets are one unit for players who are marked as “Verdict.”. Since those are usually long shots, if a player is listed in “Verdict” as a “Sprinkle,” it would be a 0.2-unit wager.

Let’s examine my NFL Week 7 Sunday anytime touchdown picks.

Kansas City’s offense should be thrilled with the Chiefs’ acquisition of wide receiver Rashee Rice.

Because of his ability to score against any kind of coverage, Rice played a crucial role in keeping defenses off balance.

He is being priced at +130 as though he has never been injured or that he will rust after serving a six-game suspension. Why don’t we just select Xavier Worthy at +180 and go with the wide receiver who has proven to be a reliable option this season (see what I did there?).

Given Rice’s return, Worthy is the only wide receiver I’m sure won’t see a decrease in playing time among the Chiefs’ current options.

Last week, Worthy caught his first touchdown of the season. Although he only had four targets, the Chiefs were just running out of time at the end of the third quarter, so the game was essentially over.

Worthy is our first choice here at +180 for an explosive weapon that receives red zone carries and rushes.

We might be happy to wager on Raiders touchdowns this week if we can only hope that quarterback Geno Smith won’t make any interceptions!

Smith has been cruel in that regard, so that’s me in my “optimistic” voice.

Nevertheless, WR Jakobi Meyers might be traded, and TE Brock Bowers is probably out again this week? I propose that we keep things simple and take TE Michael Mayer at +300 once more.

Mayer scored a touchdown last week following his recovery from a concussion, and in a game where I anticipate the Raiders to be behind and in a passing game script, it’s a great price for a TE1.

Xavier Worthy +180 | Michael Mayer +400 is the verdict.

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TE David Njoku of the Browns is sidelined due to a knee injury and may be traded. Let’s get Harold Fannin, his rookie teammate, to score another touchdown.

In terms of catches and receiving yards, Fannin leads the Browns, while the Dolphins rank 30th in defensive DVOA against the position and have given up four touchdowns to TE.

No. was taken over by Fannin. Njoku left last week’s game, so he played one TE role. With TE3 Blake Whiteheart playing a season-high 27 percent of snaps last week and catching a touchdown against the Raiders last season, you can either ride with Fannin or take a long shot like him at +2500.

QB Tua Tagovailoa’s performance in this game worries me a little because I don’t think he’ll be able to replicate his Miami success in the rainy and windy Cleveland environment on Sunday.

For this reason, I believe the Dolphins will probably not use the deep pass very often; instead, short, fast throws might be the answer.

Since he’s been running the most routes for the Dolphins since joining the team, I do believe that TE Darren Waller has the “best” matchup. However, his TD odds are so low at +240 that it’s difficult to take him at this point, especially since I don’t think Tua will throw for more than one touchdown.

WR Nick-Westbrook Ikhine and WR Malik Washington are both over +500, have low aDOTs, and have both seen snap increases with WR Tyreek Hill out, so I believe splitting a unit between them is the best option if he does, though it probably won’t be to an obvious choice like De’Von Achane or Jaylen Waddle.

Final Score: Nick Westbrook-Ikhine +1300 | Malik Washington +650 | Harold Fannin +300.

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The pinnacle of “narrative” games is this one.

The Titans, who recently fired their head coach, may play more creative football, or Mike Vrabel, the head coach of the Patriots, may be trying to stick with his former team.

To be honest, I don’t think either is important because the Patriots are simply the superior team.

Even a small offensive improvement for the Titans would still result in a bottom-10 performance. Therefore, make sure the TD odds reflect your big resurgence bet.

The only player I’m thinking about for the Titans is RB2 Tyjae Spears.

I don’t believe that the Titans’ ability to throw the ball will be miraculously improved by the new coaching staff in a single week.

Spears, who had four catches last week and ended up playing more snaps than RB1 Tony Pollard, is the one I believe will succeed if anyone does.

If the Titans must switch to a pass-heavy offense in a trailing script, Spears might also be used a little more.

I keep falling for a Drake Maye touchdown even though I know he hasn’t scored in a few weeks.

With two red-zone touchdowns, he and running back Rhamondre Stevenson are tied for second place among the Patriots’ red-zone carries.

With 21 scrambles overall this season, Maye ranks fourth among all quarterbacks.

I think we can exploit Maye here because the Titans have given up the most rushing touchdowns in the NFL (11) with just one to a quarterback, and the quarterback scoring stats should keep getting better.

Conclusion: Drake Maye +310 | Tyjae Spears +350.

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This season, I’ve been a little inconsistent with the Saints’ touchdown producers because I’ve made significant investments in players like TE Juwan Johnson and wide receiver Chris Olave. I’m returning to the Taysom Hill TD train this week, though.

With two receiving touchdowns as a pass-catching tight end, he demonstrated his receiving skills in addition to his six rushing touchdowns from the previous season.

Taysom’s touchdown odds may be close to +175 in certain weeks when it’s a prime game, but if he returns healthy, I fully expect him to get some goal line touches against a Bears defense that ranks 22nd in defensive DVOA against the run.

I believe it’s time for the Bears to make a significant investment in wide receiver Luther Burden at +450. He caught a season-high four targets against the Commanders last week, and if wide receiver DJ Moore is limited in this game, he may now play a bigger role.

I like Burden in this position even if Moore plays.

As evidenced by a flea-flicker touchdown against the Cowboys’ zone defense a few weeks ago, Burden has seen his target rate increase against zone as the Saints typically play more zone coverage (top-10 rate).

Conclusion: Luther Burden +450 | Taysom Hill +275.

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It makes sense that everyone will be cheering for Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson in this game.

The Eagles will probably be without their best cornerback, Quinyon Mitchell, and Jefferson is a top wide receiver.

Although JJettas’ ATD odds are already steamed down to +120, it appears that oddsmakers are already aware of this information. Jordan Addison, on the other hand, is the wide receiver I want at +260.

After spending the entire first quarter on the bench due to disciplinary issues, it’s kind of amazing that he had the performance he did in Week 5 (five catches and a touchdown).

With the Vikings coming off the bye and that in the past, I anticipate Addison to be fully up to speed given his recent problems. He has scored in 15 of his 34 career games, which adds up to +126 if you averaged it out.

Is it my opinion that his odds should be less than +200? However, for one of the NFL’s top young wide receivers, the value is there at +260.

Any offense this season has had to contend with the Vikings’ defense, but running backs have been flatlining them.

This is why I believe the Eagles rely a lot on the ground game, as evidenced by RB Saquon Barkley’s 15+ carries and quarterback Jalen Hurts’ constant scrambling to find angles when the Vikings blitz him.

I don’t think Saquon is worth +400 because he could steal a touchdown, and I don’t think WR AJ Brown is worth +170 because he hasn’t been getting enough targets lately.

If you are betting on an Eagle this week, I believe you should simply select the starting pass-catcher with the best odds, which is wide receiver Jahan Dotson at +1000.

Dotson is hardly ever targeted. He is still the Eagles’ third wide receiver and runs routes on more than 70% of dropbacks, despite being somewhat of a “cardio king.”.

It is disgusting, but you have to take a long shot or pass completely because of the Vikings’ defensive weakness and the Eagles’ offense’s lack of passing.

Jordan Addison +260 | Jahan Dotson +1000 is the verdict.

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Jalen Coker, one of the Panthers’ best playmakers, is returning this week, and I predict he will score at +380.

The Panthers used the second-year receiver, who only had two touchdowns the previous season, as a slot option, and he is expected to replace WR Hunter Renfrow.

Throughout Coker’s time on injured leave, Carolina has been gushing about him, praising his practice appearance and suggesting that if the Jets and CB Sauce Gardner concentrate on stopping wide receiver Tet McMillan, he might be a good option to score a touchdown.

We might not reach +300 again if he scores this week, so I also wanted to get ahead of the game.

Mason Taylor, a TE for the Jets, was already a well-liked choice for TD props going into this game because of his enormous weekly usage increase and his status as their de facto TE1.

The Panthers, who have already allowed four touchdowns to the position and are traveling against a team that is desperate for a victory, will be our next opponent after the Broncos shut him down last week.

Recall that Garrett Wilson, the starting wide receiver, is out and Justin Fields is starter.

I don’t think the Jets will score many touchdowns, but if they do, Fields’ short, purposeful passes will probably be the cause.

For this reason, I would also mention Jets wide receiver and quarterback Andrew Beck.

Beck, who has a knack for scoring, scored a touchdown on a short pass to the end zone in Week 5 and finished as the season’s most profitable ATD scorer in 2023 with +120 units after catching two touchdowns, rushing for another, and scoring a touchdown on a blocked kick.

Conclusion: Mason Taylor +260 | Jalen Coker +470 | Andrew Beck +3000.

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I won’t make this too difficult. Jonathan Taylor, a running back for the Colts, is having an incredible season. He now faces a Chargers defense that has allowed opposing RBs to score two or more touchdowns in consecutive games.

My first pick was wide receiver Josh Downs, but he may not play because he missed practice this week due to a concussion. Given the high total in this game, I reason that it would be wise to continue betting on the outstanding running back, who has already had two 3-TD games this season.

I anticipate WR Quentin Johnston returning to the Chargers, which should help WR Keenan Allen (+210).

This season, Allen has the most end zone targets (7 total) and the most targets per route run.

I have no doubt that when they reach scoring range, quarterback Justin Herbert will keep looking for him.

Although Allen has the best odds, I’ll just go back to the veteran. I also anticipate that QJ and Ladd McConkey will receive their fair share of targets.

The verdict is Keenan Allen +210 | Jonathan Taylor 2+ TDs +350.

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With both defenses ranking in the top two for using that style of defense, it’s another “man coverage” bowl, meaning both quarterbacks are available to rush for a touchdown.

In his first three starts, Giants quarterback Jaxson Dart (+375) has already rushed for two touchdowns, while Bo Nix has one this season and ranks ninth among all quarterbacks in scrambling.

The irony of Dart is that, despite having two fewer starts, he is tied with Nix in total scrambles.

However, Nix’s passing has been a little inconsistent this season, and the Giants have been quieter against the pass lately, giving up just three receiving touchdowns in their last three games, so I would still prefer to pick him out of the two.

In addition, the Giants have the worst run defense in the league, ranking last in defensive DVOA against the run.

I would prefer to keep things simple and pick the dual-threat quarterback in a plus-matchup, unless you want to wager on which tight end scores this week or which running back gets the hot hand.

Even though he didn’t score against the Eagles last week, Giants tight end Theo Johnson still had a strong pass-catching performance in this offense.

With four of his eight red zone targets falling inside the 10-yard line, Johnson has run the second-most routes of any Giant, behind only Wan’Dale Robinson.

For comparison, that is the same number of targets for TEs Jake Ferguson of the Cowboys and Hunter Henry of the Patriots, and even in a difficult game against the Broncos, it would be difficult to find either of them above +300.

Johnson has a great price, so let’s invest in him to keep the upswing going. I still believe the TD market hasn’t fully caught up to how involved Johnson is in this offense yet.

Bo Nix +300 | Theo Johnson +500 is the verdict.

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We’ll just play chalk because this is the highest total of the week. Coach Jayden Daniels of the Commanders and wide receiver George Pickens of the Cowboys are my picks (+150).

With Dak Prescott, Pickens has been at a whole new level this season, and I understand that wide receiver CeeDee Lamb is returning.

These odds should be closer to +115 because he already has 13 end zone targets and this could be a shootout.

Pickens has scored in five straight games and has six receiving touchdowns to his credit. Don’t overthink it.

Regarding Daniels, I generally avoid the “he’s due” narratives, but given the rushing, there is a lot of potential for a rushing TD.

Despite missing two games, Daniels is third in total scrambles, and the Cowboys’ run defense—or defense in general—probably won’t do much to hinder his ability to scramble out of the pocket.

When he is not blitzed and is under pressure, his scramble rate tends to increase. This is true for the Cowboys, who rank second in pressure-rate-per-dropback but bottom-10 in blitz rate.

Daniels has carried the ball eighteen times in the last two games, suggesting that his knee injury is no longer a problem.

Jayden Daniels +170 | George Pickens +150 is the verdict.

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QB Jacoby Brissett is expected to return to action this week, despite the Cardinals’ numerous health concerns.

Since Brissett is bigger and can push the ball downfield, I honestly believe that the Cardinals’ passing game is more valuable in terms of touchdowns when he is under center than when Kyler Murray is.

Because I think Marvin Harrison, a wide receiver, can win downfield in this game and because he had a great start against Brissett last week before having to leave due to a concussion, I want to take him here at +200.

TE Trey McBride is my go-to option if Harrison is unable to play.

Last week, McBride saw 11 targets and scored a touchdown. With or without Marv, he will probably see double-digit targets in this position once more.

I still expect quarterback Jordan Love to throw some guys open and score some touchdowns, even though the Packers will probably rely on running back Josh Jacobs.

The Cardinals have demonstrated that they don’t play in blowouts, regardless of the matchup. Therefore, the Packers should continue to see a lot of pass plays in the second half.

My first thought was to select rookie wide receiver Matthew Golden because, although his odds indicate that he is just one play away from making a significant impact, he appears to be just one play away.

I’m returning to TE Tucker Kraft at +180 instead.

Of all the Packers who aren’t Romeo Doubs, the big man has the most routes and scored last week.

Additionally, the Cardinals are 25th in defensive DVOA against tight ends this season and have allowed the position the second-most targets, second-most catches, and third-most yards, making it a respectable matchup.

In the end, Marvin Harrison Jr. +235 (If MHJ is ruled out, switch to Trey McBride +170) | Tucker Kraft +170.