The National Hurricane Center is tracking an area off the Southeast coast for a chance of tropical or subtropical development later this week, but regardless, heavy rain and poor beach conditions can be expected over the next few days.
Right now, the chance of a tropical or subtropical depression or storm forming is low in the area shown below off the Southeast coast.
This system should move away from the Southeast coast by Friday and Saturday and head out to sea.
Typical For This Time Of Year This region is no stranger to tropical development for the month of June.
Parts of the Caribbean, Gulf and Southeast coast are all common areas for development this time of year, as shown shaded in yellow below.
Heavy rain and unfavorable beach conditions are foreseen over the next few days, but the National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area off the Southeast coast for a potential tropical or subtropical development later this week.
What We Are Tracking.
Over the coming days, a stalled front and an upper-level disturbance will combine to produce stormy conditions from Florida to the Carolinas.
If the system stays over water instead of inland, the NHC is keeping an eye out for the potential that a nontropical low-pressure system could form and progressively take on tropical or subtropical traits.
The area below, off the Southeast coast, is currently at low risk of developing a tropical or subtropical depression or storm. By Friday or Saturday, this system should leave the Southeast coast and head out to sea.
The Atlantic hurricane season will be known as Andrea.
Effects Anticipated, In any case.
In the coming days, even in the absence of development efforts, localized heavy rain will move from Florida to the coastal Carolinas.
From Wednesday through Thursday, pockets of heavy rain were then possible in places ranging from Florida to the coastal Carolinas. Wilmington, North Carolina; Charleston, South Carolina; and Savannah, Georgia, may fall under this category.
If you are going to the beach, pay attention to the warnings because beaches on the Southeast coast are also susceptible to rip currents and rough surf.
Typical for this season.
Tropical developments in June are nothing new to this area. This time of year, development is common along portions of the Caribbean, Gulf, and Southeast coasts, as indicated by the yellow shading below.
The good news is that this is not an unusual situation.
Caitlin Kaiser began her career as a digital meteorologist with weather . com after earning both an undergraduate and graduate degree in Earth and Atmospheric Sciences from the Georgia Institute of Technology.
