Harris Surges in Battleground States

Newsweek

Vice President Kamala Harris has closed the gap in several critical swing states just over a month into her campaign, according to recent polling by Fox News.
The network released new surveys on Wednesday comparing Harris’ support in four battleground states to President Joe Biden’s polling numbers prior to him suspending his reelection campaign in late July.
In Arizona, where Harris currently leads Trump by 1 point (50 percent to 49 percent), Biden was down by 5 percentage points in a Fox News poll in June.
Harris also leads Trump in Georgia and Nevada by 2 percentage points (50 percent to 48 percent).
Each poll has a margin of sampling error of 3 percentage points, meaning Harris and Trump are in a statistical tie for the White House.
Trump’s campaign released a memo Wednesday evening in response to the Fox News polling, which it described as “atrocious.”
Trump’s team pointed at Fox polling during the 2020 presidential election and argued that the network was “off” by several percentage points when compared to election day results.
Harris has held tremendous momentum since entering the 2024 race, and other polling has shown her making strides across battleground states for Democrats.
Harris is also polling slightly ahead in Michigan and Wisconsin, although each swing state race is extremely tight with Trump.
As of Wednesday, FiveThirtyEight put Harris ahead of Trump by 3.3 percentage points on average across national polls.

POSITIVE

A recent Fox News poll indicates that, less than a month into her campaign, vice president Kamala Harris has narrowed the difference in a number of crucial swing states.

New polls from the network were made public on Wednesday, contrasting the support that Harris received in four battleground states with President Joe Biden’s polling numbers before he decided to halt his reelection campaign in late July. In Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina, states where Biden previously trailed the GOP presidential nominee by at least 5 points each, the results showed that Harris and former President Donald Trump are locked in a close race.

In a June Fox News poll, Biden was trailing Trump by 5 percentage points in Arizona, where Harris presently leads Trump by 1 point (50 percent to 49 percent). Additionally, Harris leads Trump by two percentage points (50 to 48%) in Georgia and Nevada. Conversely, Biden was running behind the former president by 5 points in Nevada in June and by 6 points in Georgia back in April.

According to the poll released on Wednesday, Trump was found to be leading the vice president in North Carolina by 1 point (50 percent to 49 percent). In February, the former president was leading Biden by five points in a Fox News poll.

The surveys that were made public on Wednesday are based on responses that were gathered between August 23 and 26 from 1,000 registered voters in each of the four swing states. With a sampling error of three percentage points in each poll, Harris and Trump are statistically tied for the presidency.

In an “atrocious” memo released on Wednesday night, the Trump campaign reacted to the Fox News polling. In the 2020 presidential contest, Fox polling was cited by Trump’s team as being “off” by a number of percentage points in comparison to the results on election day.

A Fox News poll revealed that, as of November 2020, Biden was ahead of Trump in the state of Arizona by ten percentage points, as one example given in the memo. In 2020, Biden overcame Trump in Arizona by a mere 0.3 percentage point (49.4% to 49.1%).

This election cycle, the former president has intensified his criticism of Fox News, venting his anger over the network’s polling, which he previously labeled as “fake” in a post on Truth Social.

Newsweek emailed the Trump campaign on Wednesday to request additional comments.

Harris has gained a lot of momentum since joining the 2024 contest, and additional polls indicate that she is advancing the Democratic cause in battleground states. This past week, Cook Political Report revealed that Harris has changed the political landscape in states like North Carolina, which the polling analysis website previously categorized as “leans Republican.”. Now, Minnesota and New Hampshire are categorized as “likely Democratic,” while that state is in the “tossup” category. “.

According to recent Quinnipiac and New York Times polls, Harris is leading Pennsylvania by three and four percentage points, respectively. RealClearPolitics previously reported that Biden was behind Trump by four and five points. Although the races in these swing states are very close between Trump and Harris, Harris is also slightly ahead in those polls.

FiveThirtyEight’s average of national polls as of Wednesday showed Harris leading Trump by 3 percentage points.

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